PL EN
RESEARCH PAPER
Anticipation of Female Labor Supply in Rural Area of Ukraine: A Microsimulation Approach
 
More details
Hide details
1
, Ukraine
 
 
Submission date: 2025-03-31
 
 
Final revision date: 2025-05-20
 
 
Acceptance date: 2025-06-02
 
 
Online publication date: 2025-07-21
 
 
Publication date: 2025-07-21
 
 
Corresponding author
Volodymyr SARIOGLO   

Department of Sicio-Economic Processes and Structures Modrlling, Institute for Demography and Life Quality Problems of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Naras Shevchenko Blvd, 01032, Kyiv, Ukraine
 
 
 
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
Women play a key role in rural areas. But at the same time, they face a number of problems, including employment. Successful resolution of this issue will largely determine the efficiency of agricultural production, the availability of qualified personnel, the reduction of unemployment, the reduction of social exclusion in rural areas, the improvement of living standards and the overall development of rural areas. This will also influence the formation of social policy in these areas. To investigate this issue, authors use a microsimulation approach that allows predicting potential gaps in the female labor supply by major occupational and qualification groups in rural areas in the medium term by studying rural households. Thus, the main goal of this article is to identify main challenges and opportunities for balancing the supply of women's labor in rural areas. The results of the study are the basis for both the development of rural development strategies and the formation of social policy in particular. Based on a brief analysis of the status of women in the rural labor market in European countries, it can be argued that the issues raised in the article are relevant not only for Ukraine but also for other countries.
REFERENCES (66)
1.
Aaberge, R. & Colombino, U. (2018). Structural labor supply models and microsimulation. International Journal of Microsimulation, 11(1), 162–197. https://doi.org/10.34196/ijm.0....
 
2.
Aaberge, R. & Colombino, U. (2018). Structural labor supply models and microsimulation. IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. https://docs.iza.org/dp11562.p....
 
3.
Aaberge, R. & Colombino, U. (2013). Using a microeconometric model of household labor supply to design optimal income taxes. Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 115(2), 449–475. https://www.jstor.org/stable/4....
 
4.
Altuzarra, A., Gálvez-Gálvez, C. & González-Flores, A. (2019). Economic development and female labor force participation: The case of European Union countries. Sustainability, 11(7), 1962. https://doi.org/10.3390/su1107....
 
5.
Bourguignon, F. & Spadaro, A. (2006). Microsimulation as a tool for evaluating redistribution policies. Journal of Economic Inequality, 4(1), 77–106. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10888....
 
6.
Cipollone, A., Patacchini, E. & Vallanti, G. (2014). Female labour market participation in Europe: New evidence on trends and shaping factors. IZA Journal of Labor Studies, 3, 18. https://doi.org/10.1186/2193-9....
 
7.
Drejerska, N., Kalinowski, S., Kocira, S., Kocira, A., & Sobczyński, T. (2023). Cash transfers and female labor supply – how public policy matters? A bibliometric analysis of research patterns. Quality & Quantity, 57(6). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135....
 
8.
Durman-Aslan, M. (2020). Female labor force participation in Turkey: The role of the intergenerational links. https://shs.hal.science/halshs....
 
9.
ECORYS. (2010). Study on Employment, Growth and Innovation in Rural Areas (SEGIRA). https://op.europa.eu/en/public....
 
10.
Emmenegger, J. & Obersneider, M. (2024). Dynamic microsimulations of regional income inequalities in Germany. International Journal of Microsimulation, 17(1), 69–101. https://doi.org/10.34196/ijm.0....
 
11.
Ericson, P. & Flood, L. (2012). A microsimulation approach to an optimal Swedish income tax. International Journal of Microsimulation, 5(2), 2–21. https://www.microsimulation.pu....
 
12.
European Commission. (2021). A long-term vision for the EU’s rural areas – Towards stronger, connected, resilient and prosperous rural areas by 2040 (COM(2021) 345 final).
 
13.
European Parliament. (2010). Personal and social development of women in rural areas of Europe (IP/B/AGRI/IC/2010_089).
 
14.
European Parliament. (2019). The professional status of rural women in the EU (Policy Department for Citizens’ Rights and Constitutional Affairs, Directorate General for Internal Policies of the Union, PE 608.868).
 
15.
Eurostat. (2024a). Gender differences in the labor market. http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/s....
 
16.
Eurostat. (2024b). Urban-rural Europe – Women and men living in rural areas. http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/s....
 
17.
FAO. (2014). The situation of women in rural areas and their participation in the labour market.
 
18.
FAO. (2021). Gender aspects, agricultural and rural development – Ukraine, updated edition. Series of Materials on Gender Assessment in Countries – Europe and Central Asia. Budapest. https://openknowledge.fao.org/....
 
19.
FAO. (2022). Ukraine: Impact of the war on agriculture and rural livelihoods in Ukraine – Findings of a nation-wide rural household survey, December 2022. Rome. https://doi.org/10.4060/cc3311....
 
20.
Genre, V., Salvador, R. & Lamo, A. (2010). European women: Why do(n’t) they work? Applied Economics, 42(12), 1499–1514. DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721547.
 
21.
Haan, P. (2010). A multi-state model of state dependence in labor supply: Intertemporal labor supply effects of a shift from joint to individual taxation. Labour Economics, 17(2), 323–335. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labe....
 
22.
Huliaieva, L. (2023). The impact of war on the employment of internally displaced women in Ukraine. Economy and Society, 51. https://doi.org/10.32782/2524-....
 
23.
International Labour Organization (ILO). (2018). Rural women at work: Bridging the gaps. https://www.ilo.org/sites/defa....
 
24.
Kalinowski, S. (2013). Selected aspects of the economic situation in rural households with precarious income. Problemy Polityki Społecznej, 23, 73–84. https://www.problemypolitykisp....
 
25.
Kalinowski, S. (2022). Ubóstwo i wykluczenie na wsi. In J. Wilkin & A. Hałasiewicz (Eds.), Polska wieś 2022. Raport o stanie wsi (pp. 153–170). Wydawnictwo Naukowe Scholar. https://www.skalin.pl/wp-conte....
 
26.
Kalinowski, S. & Rosa, A. (2021). Sustainable development and the problems of rural poverty and social exclusion in the EU countries. European Research Studies Journal, 24(2), 438–463. https://doi.org/10.35808/ersj/....
 
27.
Karabarbounis, M. (2024). How female labor supply shapes aggregate labor market dynamics. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Economic Brief, 24(04).
 
28.
Keane, M. P. (2011). Labor supply and taxes: A survey. Journal of Economic Literature, 49(4), 961–1075.
 
29.
Klimczak, J. & Nowalska-Kapuścik, D. (2018). The spatial dimensions of households’ resilience. Problemy Polityki Społecznej, 41, 73–89. https://www.problemypolitykisp....
 
30.
Kowalewski, A., Markowski, T., Śleszyński, P. (Eds.) (2018). Studia KPZ, 182. Polska Akademia Nauk Komitet Przestrzennego Zagospodarowania Kraju. http://journals.pan.pl/dlibra/....
 
31.
Лібанова, Е. (Ред.). (2019). Людський розвиток в Україні. Оцінка та прогноз рівня життя населення. НАН України, Ін-т демографії та соціальних до сліджень імені М.В. Птухи. https://idss.org.ua/arhiv/mono....
 
32.
Mitton, L., Sutherland, H., & Weeks, M. (2000). Microsimulation modelling for policy analysis: Challenges and innovations. Cambridge University Press. https://assets.cambridge.org/9....
 
33.
Mosthaf, A., Schnabel, C., & Stephani, J. (2014). Low-wage employment versus unemployment: Which one provides better prospects for women? IZA Journal of European Labor Studies, 3(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/2193-9....
 
34.
Narazani, E., Figari, F., & Vuri, D. (2023). EUROLAB: A multidimensional labor supplydemand model for EU countries. International Journal of Microsimulation, 16(3), 49–76. https://microsimulation.pub/ar....
 
35.
Obadic, A. (2006). Theoretical and empirical framework of measuring mismatch on a labour market. Zb. rad. Ekon. fak. Rij. Vol. 24 sv. 1, P. 55-80. https://www.researchgate.net/p....
 
36.
PACE (2011). Rural women in Europe. Doc. 12460 January 06, 2011.
 
37.
Peter, H. (2010). A multi-state model of state dependence in labor supply: Intertemporal labor supply effects of a shift from joint to individual taxation. Labor Economics, 17(2), 323–335. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labe....
 
38.
Pini, B. & Leach, B. (2011). Reshaping gender and class in rural spaces. Burlington, VT: Ashgate. https://doi.org/10.1111/ruso.1....
 
39.
Pokrzywa, M. (2019). Wielowymiarowe wykluczenie klientek pomocy społecznej w Polsce. Zeszyty Pracy Socjalnej, 24(2), 111–122. https://doi.org/10.4467/244961....
 
40.
Центр Разумкова. (2024). Трудові ресурси для повоєнного відновлення України: стан, проблеми, шляхи розвязання. Київ: Аналітична доповідь Центру Разумкова. https://razumkov.org.ua/images....
 
41.
Richardson, R., Pacelli, L., Figari, F., Paulus, A., & Sutherland, H. (2018). Female labor force projections using microsimulation for six EU countries. International Journal of Microsimulation, 11(2), 5–51. https://doi.org/10.34196/ijm.0....
 
42.
Richardson, R., Loughran, T., O’Donoghue, C., & Sologon, D. M. (2019). Understanding low female labor force participation: A policy evaluation using microsimulation.
 
43.
International Journal of Microsimulation, 12(2), 52–68. https://doi.org/10.34196/ijm.0....
 
44.
Richiardi, M. & Poggi, A. (2014). Imputing individual effects in dynamic microsimulation models: An application to household formation and labor market participation in Italy. International Journal of Microsimulation, 7(2), 3–39. https://doi.org/10.34196/ijm.0... https://www.microsimulation.pu....
 
45.
Саблук, Г. (2016). Особливості регулювання зайнятості жінок села в системі ринку трудових ресурсів. Економіка АПК, 8, 53–60. http://nbuv.gov.ua/UJRN/E_apk_....
 
46.
Shui, Y., Zhang, Y., Zheng, Y., & Zhang, Q. (2022). Employment transfer of rural female labor and family welfare effect in mountainous areas: An empirical analysis based on panel data. Land, 11(12), 2134. https://doi.org/10.3390/land11....
 
47.
Śleszyński, P. (2018). Identification and evaluation of demographic processes in Poland with special regard to the rural areas. Wieś i Rolnictwo, 3(180), 35–67. https://doi.org/10.53098/wir03....
 
48.
Śleszyński, P. (2024). External and internal determinants of rural development in Poland: Lessons for regional and local planning. Wieś i Rolnictwo, 2(203), 17–39. https://doi.org/10.53098/wir.2....
 
49.
Spielauer, M. (2001). Microsimulation modeling of population, economic growth, and social security systems. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Interim Report IR-01-026/July. https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/ep....
 
50.
Spielauer, M. (2011). What is social science microsimulation? Social Science Computer Review. https://doi.org/10.1177/089443....
 
51.
Sudakov, M. & Lisogor, L. (2023). Labor market in Ukraine 2022–2023: Status, trends and prospects. State Employment Service of Ukraine, Federation of Employers of Ukraine, Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Solidarity Fund PL. https://solidarityfund.org.ua/....
 
52.
Ukrstat. (2018). On approval of the methodology for forming sample populations for conducting sample surveys of the population (households) in 2019–2023: Living conditions of households, economic activity of the population and agricultural activity of the population in rural areas. Order of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine dated 01.03.2018 No. 39. https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/rada....
 
53.
Ukrstat. (2022a). Children, females and family in Ukraine. State Statistics Service of Ukraine. https://www.ukrstat.gov.ua/dru....
 
54.
Ukrstat. (2022b). Labor force of Ukraine. State Statistics Service of Ukraine. https://ukrstat.gov.ua/druk/pu....
 
55.
Ukrstat. (2022c). Main agricultural characteristics of households in rural area in 2021. State Statistics Service of Ukraine. https://ukrstat.gov.ua/operati....
 
56.
Ukrstat. (2022d). Statistical yearbook of Ukraine. State Statistics Service of Ukraine. https://ukrstat.gov.ua/druk/pu....
 
57.
Ukrstat. (2023a). Agriculture of Ukraine. State Statistics Service of Ukraine. https://ukrstat.gov.ua/druk/pu....
 
58.
Ukrstat. (2023b). Females and males in Ukraine. State Statistics Service of Ukraine.
 
59.
Ukrstat. (2023c). Population of Ukraine. State Statistics Service of Ukraine.
 
60.
Ukrstat. (2023d). Statistical yearbook of Ukraine. State Statistics Service of Ukraine. https://stat.gov.ua/sites/defa....
 
61.
Ukrstat. (2024). On approval of forms of state statistical observation “Agricultural activity of the population in rural areas”. Order of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine dated 28.08.2024 No. 215. https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/rada....
 
62.
Volosevych, I. et al. (2015). Comprehensive study of the situation of women living in rural areas. Kyiv: VITE. https://gender.auc.org.ua/wp-c....
 
63.
Wiest, K. (Ed.). (2016). Women and migration in rural Europe: Labor markets, representations and policies. Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-....
 
64.
Woods, M. (2009). Rural geography: blurring boundaries and making connections. Progress in Human Geography, 33 (6). https://doi.org/10.1177/030913....
 
65.
Woods, M. (2017). Globalization and rural areas. https://doi.org/10.1002/978111....
 
66.
Zwęglińska-Gałecka, D. & Szczygieł, O. (2023). Suburbanization of poverty? Analysis of attitudes of social assistance beneficiaries in rural areas of the Masovian Voivodeship. Problemy Polityki Społecznej. Social Policy Issues, 63(4), 1–24. https://doi.org/10.31971/pps/1....
 
ISSN:1640-1808
Journals System - logo
Scroll to top